Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 5.839603 6.403339 7.022981 7.759370 8.616935 9.591940 10.795717
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 5.021152 5.790661 6.705081 7.891218 9.419182 11.366030 14.113034
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.431125 5.269901 6.316329 7.753609 9.738227 12.486575 16.794637
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 4.021426 4.893104 6.021193 7.641144 10.007080 13.522798 19.580849
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.683634 4.561307 5.729960 7.468683 10.127753 14.324083 22.198925
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.450634 4.340769 5.557129 7.427423 10.416258 15.422230 25.690256
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.260246 4.158314 5.413926 7.402676 10.712454 16.580303 29.744841
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.147703 4.072839 5.397722 7.563760 11.332541 18.459819 36.272659
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.948011 3.846738 5.152193 7.327466 11.216959 18.879080 39.458570
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.771480 3.642673 4.923737 7.094128 11.069843 19.197225 42.563858
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.635964 3.490567 4.763325 6.957536 11.081611 19.858904 47.122752
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.523772 3.366522 4.637407 6.866603 11.166452 20.706384 52.925440
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.498039 3.377873 4.736139 7.198364 12.193538 24.246830 73.114476
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.427921 3.317709 4.716597 7.319421 12.820958 27.078493 95.766701
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.319044 3.190034 4.575327 7.196496 12.888185 28.372642 113.180809
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.223742 3.078346 4.452733 7.095819 12.989021 29.827781 135.931284
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.127140 2.959474 4.309957 6.941272 12.936513 30.786503 158.520693
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.057465 2.880405 4.230417 6.904269 13.166187 32.839623 201.701722
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.995314 2.810337 4.161790 6.882071 13.430471 35.179041 265.654602
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.962688 2.786880 4.173446 7.026496 14.162089 39.840694 429.454919
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.880266 2.676920 4.023525 6.814583 13.885237 40.046966 498.428575
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.803150 2.572995 3.879624 6.604972 13.586952 40.065059 572.852793
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.742848 2.495051 3.779225 6.482106 13.519655 41.194399 739.222411